Journal Articles
Mission (im)possible? UN military peacekeeping operations in civil wars
Under what conditions can UN military peacekeeping operations (PKOs) succeed in contexts of civil war? Our key finding is that what matters most and consistently across all of these missions is the presence or absence of domestic consent to, and cooperation with, deployed PKOs.
read moreThe dataset of Political Agreements in Internal Conflicts (PAIC)
Introducing the new dataset of Political Agreements in Internal Conflicts (PAIC) and presenting its first application, my co-authors Giuditta Fontana, Argyro Kartsonaki, Natascha S. Neudorfer, Dawn Walsh, Christalla Yakinthou and I develop an argument in this freely... read moreEnhancing the Robustness of Causal Claims Based on Case Study Research on Conflict Zones
Focusing on process tracing and using the example of fieldwork in Donbas, I develop an argument in this freely accessible article in Nationalities Papers on what theoretically grounded and empirically detailed methodological solutions can be considered to mitigate the... read moreTerritorial self-governance and proportional representation: reducing the risk of territory-centred intrastate violence
In this freely accessible article in Territory, Politics, Governance, my colleagues Natascha Neudorfer, Ulrike Theuerkauf, and I argue that the effectiveness of territorial self-governance as a tool of territory-centred conflict management increases when combined with... read morePredators and Peace: Explaining the Failure of the Pakistani Conflict Settlement Process in 2013-4
In this freely accessible article in Civil Wars, my colleagues Talat Farooq, Scott Lucas, and I ask whether US drone strikes caused the unravelling of the Pakistani conflict settlement process between the government and the TTP in 2013-14. This has been a... read moreTrade as a confidence-building measure in protracted conflicts: the cases of Georgia and Moldova compared
In this freely accessible article in Eurasian Geography and Economics, my colleague Nino Kemoklidze and I investigate the extent to which economic confidence-building measures (CBMs) contribute to conflict settlement. Academic and policy literature on the post-Soviet... read moreThe logic of competitive influence-seeking: Russia, Ukraine, and the conflict in Donbas
In this freely accessible article, published in Post-Soviet Affairs, my colleague Tatyana Malyarenko and I argue that the crisis in Ukraine since late 2013 has seen four successive internationally mediated agreements that have been at best partially implemented.... read moreInstitutional Outcomes of Territorial Contestation: Lessons from Post-Communist Europe, 1989–2012
Co-authored with Zsuzsa Csergő and Philippe Roseberry and published in Publius , this article starts with the observation that, since 1989, the countries of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) have experienced major institutional transformations. As part of that process,... read moreLinkage and leverage effects on Moldova’s Transnistria problem
Co-authored with John Beyer and published in East European Politics (vol. 32, no. 2, 2016), this article asks what the impact is of geopolitical competition on conflict resolution and democratisation in the context of extensive and multi-directional linkages and... read moreThe EU’s Responses to Conflicts in its Wider Neighbourhood: Human or European Security?
Systematically examining the EU’s responses to conflicts in its wider neighbourhood, this article argues that the Union’s response is most in line with a human security approach in relation to those conflicts where it perceives to have the greatest interests at stake.
read moreTwenty Years On and Twenty Years Ahead
While resistance to HCNM involvement is likely to increase in an era in which sovereignty concerns all too often trump concerns over human and minority rights, this does not make the institution of the HCNM itself irrelevant — on the contrary. I argue in this article that there are three areas in which the HCNM has a future role to play: monitoring, preventive quiet diplomacy, and policy transfer.
read moreSelf-Determination After Kosovo
Using Kosovo as an illustrative case study, this article discusses the meaning of self-determination in its historical and contemporary contexts and examines the different options available for the accommodation of contested self-determination claims.
read moreConflict Management in Divided Societies: The Many Uses of Territorial Self-Governance
This article establishes and tests a framework to explain the emergence of forms of territorial self-governance, examines the conditions under which they are combined with other conflict management strategies, such as power sharing, and reflects on their track record of providing stability in divided societies, finding it more promising than its critics allow.
read moreSouth Sudan’s Year One: Managing the Challenges of Building a New State
A year after independence, continuing tension with the North is not the only challenge facing South Sudan. From the uncertain fate of the disputed territory of Abyei and cross-border inter-communal conflicts, to a lack of economic infrastructure and food insecurity, combined with a persistent failure to build successful institutions, South Sudan’s beginning as an independent state is rife with dangers.
read moreAssessing Regional and International Organizations’ Interventions in Civil Wars: Capabilities and Context
This special issue of Civil Wars on “Assessing Regional and International Organisations’ Interventions in Civil Wars: Capabilities and Context” includes a range of case studies on the United Nations, NATO, the European Union, the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, the Organisation of the Islamic Conference, the African Union, and the Organisation of American States. Each case study features a presentation and analysis of empirical data in two dimensions: the organization’s general capabilities to carry out intervention in civil wars and, specific to one particular intervention, the conflict context in which it happened.
read moreA resolvable frozen conflict? Designing a settlement for Transnistria
This article analyses a range of existing proposals that reflect the Moldovan, Russian/Transnistrian, and Mediators’ positions to date and proposes a framework in which these proposals, and the relative consensus they exhibit, can be accommodated.
read morePost-conflict State Building: The Debate on Institutional Choice
This article finds substantial conceptual and empirical evidence that consociational institutions hold significant promise for building democratic states after conflict in divided societies.
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