The Prospects of a Sustainable Conflict Settlement for Transnistria

The conflict over Transnistria in Moldova has made little progress towards a settlement since the original ceasefire agreement of 1992 despite a number of proposals from most of the relevant conflict and third parties. Rather than assessing why negotiations have frequently stalled, my talk examines the content of existing proposals against the background of existing theories of territorial conflict management and proposes a framework for a durable settlement of the Transnistrian conflict within in the current 5+2 negotiation format: a multiple asymmetric federacy arrangement supplemented by central-level power sharing and entrenched in domestic and international law.