The current escalation between Russia and Ukraine is the latest chapter in a saga of deteriorating relations dating back almost two decades.
Ukraine
Ukraine: a country wounded by eight years of crisis
Ukraine’s domestic resilience is as important a contribution to European and global security in the long term as the immediate imperative of deterring Russian aggression.
Is there a future for cooperation between the OSCE and China?
Engagement with China must not lead to a further weakening of the OSCE human dimension, which is already under a lot of pressure.
Putin calling all the shots in Ukraine: what next for relations between Russia and the West?
Neither Russia nor the West can really afford to let bilateral relations deteriorate to such an extent over the crisis in Ukraine that international diplomacy and crisis management become completely impossible for a prolonged period of time.
Crimea flashpoint raises stakes in Russia’s regional power play
Like the West’s, Russia’s Ukraine policy is part of a larger geopolitical game over influence in a strategic region contested by an emerging great power (the EU) and a rival who has been in decline for two decades and unable to reverse this trend to date.
Crimea on the brink: no velvet divorce for polarised peninsula
Given the local, regional and global political dynamics of the Ukrainian crisis, Crimea is unlikely to experience a “velvet divorce”, but could trigger wider violence that Simferopol, Kiev, Moscow, Brussels and Washington should be keen to avoid.
Ukraine a pawn in high-stakes global game with no quick win in sight for EU, US or Russia
Given the depth of these problems, Ukraine’s crisis is certain to continue. Any effort to resolve it in a sustainable way will require a more comprehensive agreement and the breathing space to negotiate it–neither of which will be possible without highly responsible and strategic leadership in Kiev, Moscow, Brussels and Washington.
Conflict Resolution in the EU’s Eastern Neighbourhood
This paper was commissioned by the European Policy Centre and co-authored with Amanda Akcakoca, Thomas Vanhauwaert, and Richard G. Whitman. It analyses the impact of the war between Russia and Georgia on the EU's ability to manage conflicts in the wider eastern...
Power Sharing and the Vertical Layering of Authority: A Review of Current Practices
Published in Settling Self-determination Disputes: Complex Power Sharing in Theory and Practice (edited by Marc Weller and Barbara Metzger, Brill, 2008), this chapter analyses state construction in complex power-sharing systems from the perspective of how authority is...