What are the causes and consequences of the crisis in Ukraine, and what has been the nature of local, national, and...
De-facto States
The logic of competitive influence-seeking: Russia, Ukraine, and the conflict in Donbas
In this article, published in Post-Soviet Affairs in 2018, my colleague Tatyana Malyarenko and I argue that the crisis...
Institutional Outcomes of Territorial Contestation: Lessons from Post-Communist Europe, 1989–2012
Co-authored with Zsuzsa Csergő and Philippe Roseberry and published in Publius, this article starts with the...
The Transnistrian Issue: Moving beyond the Status Quo
Analysing the current context of the Transnistrian conflict and drawing on an analysis of existing proposals for conflict settlement, this study offers a number of suggestions how a sustainable settlement could be achieved.
The European Union’s South Ossetia Dilemma
The dilemma for the EU is that it has put itself in a position in which it cannot side with the people of South Ossetia who, in their majority, have endorsed a female candidate in a presidential election deemed free and fair.
Guarantee Options for a Settlement of the Conflict over Transnistria
Any meaningful consideration of guarantee options requires some assumptions about the nature of the underlying settlement. With this in mind, the following discussion draws on comparative experience in two ways. First, it considers the nature of the conflict over...
The EU as a Conflict Manager? The Case of Georgia and Its Implications
Co-authored with Richard G. Whitman and subsequently published in International Affairs, this article offers an analysis of the EU's engagement in Georgia as a standpoint from which to assess the EU's role as a conflict manager. The paper begins with a brief narrative...
Structure and Agency in the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict Settlement Process
This report (in German) was prepared for a meeting with representatives of the Nagorno-Karabakh territory at the European Academy in Berlin. It analyses the dynamic relationship between and among the main structures and actors in the conflict and the various attempts...