Differentiating between Belarus and Russia and carefully calibrating policies towards both countries should be among the priorities for western policy makers.
Confidence Building in the OSCE Region
For the sake of Ukraine, the opportunity, however slim, to cooperate with China on stopping Russia’s aggression should not be discarded out of hand.
The current escalation between Russia and Ukraine is the latest chapter in a saga of deteriorating relations dating back almost two decades.
China has become a significant actor in the OSCE area at a time of deep divisions among participating States.
Within days of Maia Sandu’s victory, the protracted conflict over Transnistria has moved to the centre stage again.
The protracted conflicts across the post-Soviet space have returned to the center of regional and international politics over the past several months.
Since the conclusion of the Minsk II agreement in February 2015, the situation in eastern Ukraine has evolved into a seemingly permanent yet highly volatile state of “no peace, no war.”
Many remember Russia’s Cold War strategy of invading, destabilizing and intervening in other countries’ governance. Putin has apparently once again made this his policy.
Since protests, separatism and foreign intervention began to break Ukraine apart in 2014, it has been struggling to stay in control of its future. And the struggle is far from over. No fewer than four peace agreements have been struck: the two Minsk agreements, the so-called Kyiv Agreement, and the Geneva Declaration.