The speed with which this trend of US-China decoupling will continue, and whether it might be reversed, will depend, among other things, on how – and how quickly – the war in Ukraine comes to an end.
Post-Soviet Space
Finland and Sweden’s desire to join Nato shows Putin has permanently redrawn the map of Europe
Why would Ukraine be persuaded by Russian assurances to respect its neutrality if states like Finland and Sweden, who are not under attack, no longer feel that neutrality guarantees their security?
Options for dealing with Russia in the OSCE
Whether the OSCE can continue as a platform for dialogue between East and West, however minimal for the time being, ultimately depends on Russia
Ukraine: how negotiations could stop the war and what needs to happen first
Creating the conditions for negotiations is not the same as creating the conditions for their success, as eight years of unsuccessful attempts to bring peace to eastern Ukraine sadly testify.
The First Days of War
Putin’s illegal invasion of Ukraine is difficult to understand and impossible to justify within the bounds of normal rationality.
Why the idea of a ‘neutral’ Ukraine is a non-starter in peace talks
Muddying the diplomatic waters further with an unpalatable, and in all likelihood unattainable, “solution” wastes precious time and resources that now would be better devoted to achieving a stable ceasefire and an end to Russia’s aggression.
Ukraine invasion: what the west needs to do now
For the west, containing Russia’s aggression and keeping the western alliances (EU and NATO) united and intact are the obvious key short-term objectives.
Ukraine: what’s really behind Putin’s deployment of ‘peacekeeping’ troops?
Related NotesVladimir Putin’s recognition of the independence of the two breakaway republics of Donetsk and Luhansk followed a surreal live broadcast of a security council meeting in the Kremlin. Sitting facing the 13-member council, Putin cajoled and argued as, one...
Ukraine: why a negotiated settlement on Donbas will be tough to achieve
Even the most difficult and protracted negotiations are preferable to the spectre of further armed conflict.