Any agreement that consolidates Russian control over the already occupied territories while pressure points are still changing is a worst-case scenario for Kyiv and its Western allies.
Ukraine invasion: ‘stage two’ of Russia’s war is ringing alarm bells in nearby Moldova
Related Notes The second stage of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is underway. The scope of the war now appears to be...
Ukraine: how Putin could try to split the country into regional puppet governments
Related NotesIn its scale and cost, as well as its broader implications for European and international security,...
Ukraine: a country wounded by eight years of crisis
Ukraine’s domestic resilience is as important a contribution to European and global security in the long term as the immediate imperative of deterring Russian aggression.
Territorial self-governance and separatism: The case of (eastern) Ukraine
Territorial self-governance can take many forms, from federation, to federacy, to devolution. Provided the conditions are right, it can contribute to conflict prevention and settlement. Ukraine exhibits many characteristics in which the application of territorial...
Conflict-Solving Mechanisms and Negotiation Formats for Post-Soviet Protracted Conflicts
Existing negotiation formats for post-Soviet protracted conflicts have failed to reach their ultimate objective of reaching sustainable settlements. However, as I argue in this report for the Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies at the Swedish Institute of...
The prospects for a settlement on Transnistria under a Sandu presidency
Within days of Maia Sandu’s victory, the protracted conflict over Transnistria has moved to the centre stage again.
A New Dynamic for Post-Soviet Conflict Settlement?
The protracted conflicts across the post-Soviet space have returned to the center of regional and international politics over the past several months.
What next for Moldova?
Will Maia Sandu’s victory matter for one of Europe’s poorest country, which has been torn between Russia and the West for the better part of the past three decades?